{"id":2620,"date":"2025-06-22T21:30:16","date_gmt":"2025-06-22T16:00:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/?p=2620"},"modified":"2025-06-22T21:30:20","modified_gmt":"2025-06-22T16:00:20","slug":"trading-strategy-outlook-for-23-june-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/22\/trading-strategy-outlook-for-23-june-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Trading Strategy &amp; Outlook for 23 June 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Nifty 50 Post-Market Analysis \u2013 20 June 2025 and Trading Outlook for 23 June 2025<\/h1>\n<article><em>Published: 22 June 2025 \u00a0|\u00a0 Author: Rajanish Dewanji<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>1. Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Closing:<\/strong> 25,112.40 \u2013 up 1.29 % as the index reclaimed 25K<\/li>\n<li><strong>Sector Leaders:<\/strong> Banks, Telecom, Auto<\/li>\n<li><strong>Macro Risk:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/us-strikes-iran-nuclear-sites-escalation-2025-06-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">U.S. strikes on Iran<\/a> escalate oil risk and market volatility<\/li>\n<li><strong>VIX:<\/strong> 13.6 \u2013 market calm, but geopolitical risks brewing<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>2. Price Action Breakdown<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Opening:<\/strong> Initial dip below 24,800 absorbed swiftly. A bullish engulfing candle formed around 10:30 AM, suggesting accumulation.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mid-Day:<\/strong> Tight consolidation around VWAP at 24,950. Volume faded, hinting at supply absorption.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Breakout:<\/strong> Post-1:30 PM, buyers rushed in, and Nifty broke above 25,000 with momentum, pushing toward 25,135 before mild profit booking.<\/p>\n<h2>3. Market Internals<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Indicator<\/th>\n<th>Reading<\/th>\n<th>Trend<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>RSI (30-min)<\/td>\n<td>67<\/td>\n<td>Approaching Overbought<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>India VIX<\/td>\n<td>13.6<\/td>\n<td>Calm Market<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Put\/Call Ratio<\/td>\n<td>1.02<\/td>\n<td>Balanced Sentiment<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>4. Geopolitical Impact \u2013 Iran Conflict<\/h2>\n<p>Markets are reacting sharply to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/us-strikes-iran-nuclear-sites-escalation-2025-06-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">confirmed U.S. airstrikes on Iran&#8217;s nuclear sites<\/a>. The development threatens stability in the oil-rich Gulf, prompting energy traders to price in a risk premium.<\/p>\n<p>According to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/commodities\/brent-oil\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Investing.com live crude oil prices<\/a>, Brent Crude could gap up by $3\u2013$5\/barrel when markets reopen. A spike in oil may pressure OMCs like BPCL and IOC but benefit ONGC and Oil India.<\/p>\n<p>Traders should monitor the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/rates-charts\/usd-inr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">USD\/INR pair on FXStreet<\/a> as a weakening rupee could trigger FII outflows from Indian equities.<\/p>\n<h2>5. Sector Performance<\/h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Sector<\/th>\n<th>Movement<\/th>\n<th>Outlook<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Banks<\/td>\n<td>+2.1%<\/td>\n<td>Positive on credit growth<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Auto<\/td>\n<td>+1.9%<\/td>\n<td>Positive on sales data<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Telecom<\/td>\n<td>+2.0%<\/td>\n<td>Positive on tariff hike buzz<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Energy (OMCs)<\/td>\n<td>-0.7%<\/td>\n<td>Negative on crude spike<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>6. Key Technical Levels<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Support:<\/strong> 24,960 \/ 24,820<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resistance:<\/strong> 25,180 \/ 25,250 \/ 25,400<\/li>\n<li><strong>Breakout Confirmation:<\/strong> Close above 25,250 on volume<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>7. Trading Strategy for Monday, 23 June 2025<\/h2>\n<p>Use <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbctv18.com\/market\/sgx-nifty\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">SGX Nifty<\/a> pre-open data to plan trades.<\/p>\n<h3>Intraday Plan<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Long above 25,180 (Target: 25,250+), SL: 25,120<\/li>\n<li>Short below 24,960 (Target: 24,820), SL: 25,030<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>Swing Idea<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Buy Nifty 25,300 CE if spot sustains above 25,250<\/li>\n<li>Target: 25,600\u201325,750, SL: Spot below 25,050<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>8. Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Nifty\u2019s recovery above 25K reflects strong market confidence, but geopolitical instability due to Iran&#8217;s situation cannot be ignored. Be nimble, use defined-risk trades, and hedge appropriately. Focus on breakout confirmation and prepare for volatility.<\/p>\n<p><em>Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only. Please consult a registered investment advisor before making trading decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nifty 50 Post-Market Analysis \u2013 20 June 2025 and Trading Outlook for 23 June 2025&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2621,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"_ti_tpc_template_sync":false,"_ti_tpc_template_id":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[29,28,26,27,25],"class_list":["post-2620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nifty-outlook","tag-crude-oil","tag-iran-conflict","tag-nifty","tag-post-market-analysis","tag-technical-analysis"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2620","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2620"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2620\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2622,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2620\/revisions\/2622"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2621"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2620"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2620"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/m.intradayafl.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2620"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}